Wednesday’s game that pits the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (17-3, 6-1 SEC) versus the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-4, 4-3 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum has a projected final score of 82-78 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Alabama, who we project as slightly favored in this matchup. Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET on January 29.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama is a good bet to cover the spread, which is listed at 1.5. The two teams are projected to come in below the 165.5 total.

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Mississippi State vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Mississippi State -1.5
• Point total: 165.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -125, Alabama +104

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Mississippi State vs. Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 82, Mississippi State 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Alabama

• Pick ATS: Alabama (+1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (165.5)

Mississippi State has compiled a 9-11-0 record against the spread this season, while Alabama is 11-9-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Bulldogs are 10-10-0 and the Crimson Tide are 11-9-0. The teams score an average of 171.1 points per game, 5.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Mississippi State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs have a +223 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.2 points per game. They’re putting up 80.7 points per game to rank 44th in college basketball and are giving up 69.5 per contest to rank 119th in college basketball.
• Mississippi State is 27th in college basketball at 36.3 rebounds per game. That’s 4.3 more than the 32.0 its opponents average.
• Mississippi State makes 8.6 three-pointers per game (102nd in college basketball) at a 32.1% rate (273rd in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 its opponents make while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc.
• The Bulldogs average 101.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (70th in college basketball), and give up 87.1 points per 100 possessions (63rd in college basketball).
• Mississippi State has committed 10.0 turnovers per game (50th in college basketball action), 3.4 fewer than the 13.4 it forces on average (58th in college basketball).

Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide’s +237 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 90.4 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 78.5 per outing (330th in college basketball).
• Alabama wins the rebound battle by 7.6 boards on average. It records 40.6 rebounds per game, third in college basketball, while its opponents grab 33.0.
• Alabama hits 9.9 three-pointers per game (32nd in college basketball) at a 32.5% rate (250th in college basketball), compared to the 6.9 per game its opponents make, at a 29.1% rate.
• Alabama has committed 1.6 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 12.1 (257th in college basketball) while forcing 10.5 (285th in college basketball).

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